TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming USL Championship soccer match between Hartford Athletic and Rhode Island FC. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent, with different thresholds defining various outcomes.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island FC USL Championship match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Hartford wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes; if they win by more than 1.5 but not exceeding 2.5 goals, its respective market resolves Yes. Similarly, if Rhode Island FC wins by more than 1.5 goals, their corresponding market resolves Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 goals, that market resolves Yes. All outcomes are determined solely by regular-time scoring, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated intellectual property.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when there is considerable uncertainty surrounding the outcome. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders who can identify mispricings between the two types of markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island FC match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price reflects the market’s collective expectation of the outcome, and the volume traded indicates the level of interest and conviction among participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island FC match as officially reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their stake. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment and impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or strategic changes could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades placed by individual participants or groups could temporarily influence the market price, creating short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.