TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
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$323,326,361
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
Hartford Athletic and Louisville City will play a USL Cup soccer match on October 4, 2026. The market resolves based on which team wins in regulation time—specifically, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without extra time or penalty phases.
If Hartford Athletic wins the Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City professional USL Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisville City wins the Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City professional USL Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City professional USL Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise to identify potential value and understand differing viewpoints on the likely winner of the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the regulation time moneyline result of the Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City match – meaning a win, loss, or draw within the standard 90 minutes of play, plus any added stoppage time. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of determining the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Hartford Athletic or Louisville City would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the availability of key players, or any controversies surrounding the match, could also lead to shifts in the market. Monitoring these types of events can help you understand potential catalysts for price changes.