TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 1, 2:22 PM EST
Kalshi
Hartford Athletic and Charleston will compete, with markets centered on whether Hartford achieves a decisive victory or if Charleston dominates with a significant goal difference.
The spread markets for the Hartford Athletic vs Charleston game determine outcomes based on win margins. If Hartford Athletic wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Hartford Athletic wins by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. Alternatively, if Charleston wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes. If Charleston wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All resolutions are based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a bookmaker’s assessment. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. This can create opportunities for informed traders who identify discrepancies between the two. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate beliefs may lose money. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and informative market.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Hartford Athletic vs Charleston match, specifically the spread as determined by official game statistics. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Weather conditions on game day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also play a role. Furthermore, unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts might affect trader sentiment. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also contribute to price movements in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.