TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 1:59 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the National League game, scheduled for October 3 at 10:00 AM ET.
More markets for the National League game, scheduled for October 3 at 10:00 AM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money wagers and the insights of individuals actively predicting the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current implied probabilities are driven by the ongoing trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Harrogate Town AFC vs. Hornchurch FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that information. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the Oct 3, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a specific outcome could also impact the price of shares. Furthermore, large-volume trades from influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Harrogate vs. Hornchurch match is crucial for understanding potential market movements.