TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
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40,428
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming National League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Harrogate Town AFC and Hornchurch FC.
This event is for the upcoming National League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Harrogate Town AFC and Hornchurch FC.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Harrogate Town vs. Hornchurch match. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price of those contracts increases, reflecting a higher probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing adjusts in real-time based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Harrogate Town AFC vs. Hornchurch FC match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle. The outcome will be determined by the final score of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or significant shifts in team form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches involving these teams or their competitors might cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also contribute to price movements in this market.