TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 3:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a Euroleague basketball game between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Besiktas. The markets ask forecasters to predict which team will win the game, with a contingency for cancellation or postponement.
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for October 14 at 12:00PM ET: If the Hapoel Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to "Hapoel Tel Aviv". If the Besiktas win, the market will resolve to "Besiktas". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the match as scheduled on Oct 14, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to variations in trader demographics, market design, and liquidity. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to differing opinions reflected in the prices. Furthermore, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, differing fees or margin requirements could impact how traders assess risk and value potential outcomes for the Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Besiktas match. These factors contribute to the dynamic interplay between the two markets, creating opportunities for arbitrage and highlighting the diverse perspectives within the prediction market ecosystem.