TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Israel Premier League game, scheduled for November 2 at 1:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Israel Premier League game, scheduled for November 2 at 1:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to profit from margins, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants, or from information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined by supply and demand; if more traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Israeli Premier League match between Hapoel Ramat Gan Givatayim FC and Maccabi Tel Aviv FC, as reported by official league sources. Traders will be able to see the final result and how it impacts their positions in this market following the event’s conclusion. The outcome will be determined by the official result, irrespective of pre-match predictions or analyses.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, real-time updates during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, will likely cause rapid price movements. Broader factors like weather conditions or even public sentiment expressed on social media could also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities before the market resolves.