TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 2:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Hapoel Kiryat Yam and FC Kafr Qasim. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the game within regular time, or if the match will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves determining the winner of a professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for October 16, 2026, between Hapoel Kiryat Yam and FC Kafr Qasim. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: a win for Hapoel Kiryat Yam, a win for FC Kafr Qasim, or a tie. The market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets operate independently of official league affiliations, using publicly available game results for resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when public perception diverges from expert analysis. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The platform uses a decentralized mechanism, meaning prices are determined solely by supply and demand from traders, not by a central authority setting odds.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Kiryat Yam vs Kafr Qasim match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market is officially settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on a particular outcome – could indicate informed traders have a strong conviction, causing prices to adjust accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you assess potential trading opportunities.