TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result depends solely on the performance of the teams during the standard regulation time of the match. Any postponement or cancellation of the game will trigger a special resolution process.
The event determines the result of the Hapoel Kfar Shelem versus Hapoel Acre professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for October 19, 2026, based exclusively on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to possible results: a win for Hapoel Kfar Shelem, a win for Hapoel Acre, or a tie. If the match concludes with one team scoring more goals than the other within regulation time, the respective win market resolves positively. If both teams score an equal number of goals during regulation, the tie market resolves. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under extraordinary circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, or simply hold different beliefs about the probabilities involved in the Hapoel Kfar Shelem vs Hapoel Acre match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Hapoel Kfar Shelem vs Hapoel Acre match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hapoel Kfar Shelem vs Hapoel Acre match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result, and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 19, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all impact the perceived probabilities of each outcome in the Hapoel Kfar Shelem vs Hapoel Acre match. Unexpected announcements or developments related to either team’s performance or strategic approach could also trigger significant price movements as traders adjust their positions based on new information.