TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 2:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional basketball match between two teams competing in an international tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the game as officially recorded by the league. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to determine the final settlement.
The event resolves based on the official result of the men's professional EuroCup basketball game between Hapoel Jerusalem and KK Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana, scheduled for October 6, 2026, at 12:30 PM EDT. If either team wins the match, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, you may observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Kalshi and those found at sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, differing interpretations of data, or simply the dynamic nature of market sentiment versus static sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the event’s result. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, giving you insight into the strength of conviction behind various predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hapoel Jerusalem vs. Cedevita Olimpija match, as reported by official sports sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning contract and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the process is complete, ensuring transparency and a fair outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, coaching changes, or even pre-game analysis from reputable sources could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or significant tactical adjustments could also lead to price movements. General basketball news and broader trends in the EuroLeague competition could also play a role, as traders continually update their assessments of each team’s chances of success leading up to Oct 6, 2026.