TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an Israeli Premier League soccer match between Hapoel Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv. The resolution depends solely on which team wins the match within regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. Any postponement or cancellation beyond a set timeframe triggers a fair price resolution.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Israeli Premier League match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Hapoel Jerusalem, a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie at the conclusion of regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform’s procedures. The resolution strictly considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes only, with no account for any post-match proceedings such as extra time, penalty shootouts, or other extended play formats.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals trading based on their own insights. This can lead to discrepancies, as the market may incorporate information not fully captured by traditional methods. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, particularly when there’s significant public interest or access to unique information, though this isn't always the case.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will be the final result of the game – which team wins, or if the game ends in a tie. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, real-time performance during the match itself, such as early scoring or key defensive plays, will likely cause rapid adjustments in the market. Broader factors like weather conditions, if they affect the playing surface, and public sentiment expressed through social media or sports analysis could also contribute to movements in this market.