TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:23 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Israel Premier League game, scheduled for October 12 at 1:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Israel Premier League game, scheduled for October 12 at 1:30 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd approach, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of an outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate. It’s always wise to compare both to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, they will buy shares, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Israeli Premier League match between Hapoel Jerusalem FC and Maccabi Haifa FC. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information and doesn’t involve any subjective judgment calls.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hapoel Jerusalem FC or Maccabi Haifa FC would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or referee assignment, could also lead to price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely move the market.