TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:22 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Israel Premier League game between Hapoel Jerusalem FC and Maccabi Haifa FC, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Israel Premier League game between Hapoel Jerusalem FC and Maccabi Haifa FC, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team strengths and potential game flow. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might signal an opportunity for value betting, assuming you agree with the market’s assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome—Hapoel Jerusalem FC leading, Maccabi Haifa FC leading, or a draw—and the price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe Hapoel Jerusalem FC will be leading at halftime, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants and provides a real-time assessment of the most likely halftime result.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the halftime result—which team is leading, or if it’s a draw—will be determined based on official game statistics. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Hapoel Jerusalem FC or Maccabi Haifa FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Even pre-game analysis from reputable sports commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could trigger trading activity and alter the perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in this market before Oct 12, 2026.