TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Israel Premier League game, scheduled for Monday, October 12, 2026 between Hapoel Jerusalem FC and Maccabi Haifa FC.
This event is for the upcoming Israel Premier League game, scheduled for Monday, October 12, 2026 between Hapoel Jerusalem FC and Maccabi Haifa FC.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market is driven purely by trader predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise to gauge where the market consensus differs from professional oddsmakers, and potentially identify value in either venue. Examining these differences can offer insights into the perceived probabilities of various outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by factors like team news, injuries, and overall public sentiment regarding the match. The current price reflects the market's assessment of the likelihood of a particular result.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Israeli Premier League match between Hapoel Jerusalem FC and Maccabi Haifa FC as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which outcome – a win for either team or a draw – is the officially recorded result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hapoel Jerusalem FC or Maccabi Haifa FC would likely cause price adjustments. Unexpected changes in team formations or managerial decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader news related to team performance in other competitions or even weather conditions on match day could impact the implied probabilities. Significant betting activity or large volume trades on Polymarket could also indicate a shift in market expectations.