TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Israeli Premier League soccer match between Hapoel Haifa and Maccabi Petah Tikva. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. If the game ends in a tie, a separate market will resolve positively.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva professional Israeli Premier League soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' for Hapoel Haifa if they win the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Similarly, a market resolves to 'Yes' for Maccabi Petah Tikva under the same conditions if they secure the victory. If the match ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no account for extended play or penalty shootouts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts, betting on a specific outcome, or sell 'no' contracts, betting against it. The price of each contract represents the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange contracts, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The more contracts bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Israeli Premier League match—whether Hapoel Haifa or Maccabi Petah Tikva wins—will determine the settlement of contracts on Kalshi. Traders holding 'yes' contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding 'no' contracts will incur a loss. The resolution process relies on widely available and trustworthy sources to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also shift the odds. Furthermore, major tactical announcements from either team’s manager or shifts in public sentiment—reflected in media coverage and social media—could all contribute to price fluctuations. Increased volume on Kalshi itself, driven by new information or strategic trading, will also cause the market to react.