TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in a league game scheduled for a specific date. The result depends solely on which team wins the match within the regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will lead to a fair resolution based on predefined terms.
The event determines the winner of a professional Liga Leumit soccer match between Hapoel Acre and Ra`anana, scheduled for October 23, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Hapoel Acre secures a victory under these conditions, the 'Hapoel Acre' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Ra`anana achieves the win, the 'Ra`anana' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie within the same timeframe, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the outcome within regular time, with no consideration for post-match proceedings such as extra time or penalties.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, as they represent the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders rather than a single bookmaker’s assessment. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, factoring in a margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potential value for informed traders. Comparing the two can reveal insights into public perception versus expert analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Hapoel Acre vs Ra`anana match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if many traders believe Ra`anana is likely to win, the price of that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hapoel Acre vs Ra`anana match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The precise details regarding payout amounts are determined by the market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Hapoel Acre or Ra`anana could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could also shift the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, causing the price to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.