TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 10:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result depends solely on the performance of the teams during the regulation time of the match, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Market resolution considers specific conditions such as game cancellations or rescheduling.
The event resolves based on the result of the Hapoel Acre vs H. Rishon Lezion professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for October 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Hapoel Acre wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If H. Rishon Lezion wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, which depends strictly on the result within regulation time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their individual assessments. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion changes leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher demand for a particular outcome will drive its price up, indicating a greater perceived likelihood, while increased selling pressure will lower the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Israeli Premier League match between Hapoel Acre and H. Rishon Lezion will be used to determine the winning contract. Resolution will depend on official sources declaring the final score and confirming the match's completion. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in prior matches by either Hapoel Acre or H. Rishon Lezion would also be a key signal. Major announcements related to player availability, or even reports of internal team conflicts, could all lead to significant price movements on Kalshi. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role in influencing trading activity.