TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between the Hanwha Eagles and Kiwoom Heroes. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed certain thresholds. It reflects the anticipated scoring level of the match.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the Hanwha Eagles and Kiwoom Heroes in their KBO game scheduled for October 7, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold—specifically, whether the combined score exceeds 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. All markets resolve based on the actual runs scored in the game as officially recorded by the KBO. The resolving entity explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The timing and date of the game are fixed, and the outcomes are determined solely by the final, official score of the match.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis that might not be immediately priced into traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities. It’s common to see prediction market prices move in response to news, injuries, or changing public perception, and these shifts can sometimes precede similar movements in sportsbook odds. However, discrepancies can also occur due to differing market participants and risk appetites.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts representing different total run outcomes. Traders buy 'yes' contracts if they believe the total runs will be at or above a certain number, and sell 'no' contracts if they believe it will be lower. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely total runs in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Hanwha Eagles versus Kiwoom Heroes game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine whether the total runs exceed or fall short of the contract thresholds. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring that the market accurately reflects the real-world result of the baseball game.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding potential starting pitchers, key player injuries, or changes in weather conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports on team strategies might also lead to price adjustments. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could drive trading activity. Even in-game events, such as early scoring or pitching changes, could cause volatility in the market as traders react to the unfolding action.