TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:14 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for October 14 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for October 14 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand. If a significant difference exists, it might indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants. The more volume traded, the more confident you can be in the market’s signal.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Hanshin Tigers versus Yokohama BayStars game. The platform will look to established sports news sources and official league standings to determine the winning outcome. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information and doesn't involve any subjective judgment calls. The market will close and payouts will be distributed shortly after the official result is known.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in pitching rotations, or weather forecasts impacting the game could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games by either the Hanshin Tigers or the Yokohama BayStars could also play a role. Additionally, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one particular outcome – could quickly move the market. Monitoring these signals allows traders to react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.