TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:52 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 8 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 8 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of events than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. This often leads to quicker incorporation of new information and a more efficient price discovery process. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly when there are discrepancies with the current sentiment in this market. It's wise to compare both to make informed decisions.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the NPB championship series, determining which team emerges victorious. The winning team will be the one declared champion by the Nippon Professional Baseball organization. Traders holding shares in the winning team will receive a payout equivalent to 100 shares per winning outcome, while shares in losing teams will be worth zero. This market provides a way to express predictions about this significant sporting event.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Key player injuries or unexpected changes in team performance are likely catalysts. Major trades or announcements regarding team strategies could also shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and fan discussions, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent than concrete on-field events. Furthermore, any unforeseen circumstances impacting the championship series schedule or format could introduce volatility. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the probabilities offered by this market.