TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:11 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the 3. Liga game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:00 AM ET.
More markets for the 3. Liga game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:00 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions are accurate. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hansa Rostock vs. Fortuna Dusseldorf match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased shares align with the actual outcome of the game. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or managerial decisions might also play a role. Furthermore, the performance of either team in their preceding matches, or even broader league standings, could impact the perceived probabilities. Significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns, will also be visible in the price of shares.