TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match between Hannover and St. Pauli. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can bet on either team winning or the match ending in a tie.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Hannover vs St. Pauli professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Hannover or St. Pauli markets occurs only if the respective team wins within regulation time; extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it might indicate an opportunity for value betting, assuming you have a strong conviction about the true outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Hannover vs St. Pauli match, and the price of each contract reflects the current probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined by supply and demand; if more people believe Hannover will win, the price of a 'Hannover wins' contract will increase, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hannover vs St. Pauli match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could significantly move this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hannover or St. Pauli would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also play a role. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to both teams is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that might impact this market.