TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Hannover and Kaiserslautern. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The event evaluates whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Hannover vs Kaiserslautern DFB Pokal match scheduled for October 28, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals must surpass its respective threshold within the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootout goals excluded from consideration. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices signifying greater perceived likelihood. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event draws nearer.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Hannover vs Kaiserslautern match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football league, and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hannover or Kaiserslautern would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team form, tactical changes, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sources could all contribute to shifts in the perceived probabilities reflected in this market.