TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
Hannover plays Kaiserslautern in the DFB Pokal, with attention on whether both teams can net a goal within the regular match time. The game's result will depend on each team's ability to convert chances and maintain defensive discipline.
If Hannover and Kaiserslautern both score a goal in the Hannover vs Kaiserslautern DFB Pokal match originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of both teams scoring, the odds on Kalshi will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true likelihood. This dynamic can lead to opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' (both teams to score) or 'No' (one or both teams fail to score). The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set their own prices, and the market adjusts based on supply and demand. A higher price indicates a greater perceived probability of the event occurring, while a lower price suggests the opposite. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism driven by user activity.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Hannover and Kaiserslautern score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and the market will settle based on that information. The final result will be publicly available after the match concludes and the outcome is officially verified, allowing for a transparent and auditable resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 28, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hannover or Kaiserslautern would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived likelihood of goals being scored. Furthermore, any significant tactical adjustments announced by either team’s manager, or shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.