TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Hannover 96 and FC St. Pauli 1910, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hannover 96" if Hannover 96 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC St. Pauli 1910" if FC St. Pauli 1910 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Hannover 96 and FC St. Pauli 1910, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hannover 96" if Hannover 96 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC St. Pauli 1910" if FC St. Pauli 1910 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission built into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks might initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as more information becomes available and more people trade. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages, or simply variations in how risk is assessed.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular team, the price of those shares increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the lead. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Hannover 96 or FC St. Pauli 1910—scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified by sources considered authoritative for football results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and the shares they hold representing the correct outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, particularly injuries to key players, could significantly shift expectations. Pre-match analysis from football experts, changes in weather forecasts, or even public sentiment expressed on social media could also play a role. Unexpected news about team morale or tactical changes announced by the managers could also cause the odds to move. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to impact the market.