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410,482

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4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Hampton Pirates vs. SMU Mustangs (W)
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Hampton Pirates vs. SMU Mustangs?

Total volume:
$68
Volume 24h:
$48N/A
Liquidity:
$30
0%
Open interest:
$68
240%

SMU

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:20h:20m

SMU wins

80%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 89¢ buys you 112 shares | Odds: 80% Total Payout: $112 | Net Profit: $12 Multiplier: 1.12x | ROI: 12% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SMU

Trade
80%
13%
Yes 89¢No 37¢
26¢
N/A
$68
240%
N/A
$68
2d 20h 20m
Active
polymarket

Hampton Pirates vs. SMU Mustangs (W)

Trade
50%
9%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 17h 20m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
80%
Yes 89¢No 37¢
Avg: 62¢Max: 98¢
kalshi

Hampton

Trade
N/A
N/A
62¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 20h 20m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Hampton University and SMU. The markets ask whether either team wins the game originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. Resolution hinges on the official result of the game, with provisions for cancellation or abandonment.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket introduces a no-result condition (50-50 split) for cancellations/abandonments, while Kalshi only cares about which team wins if the game is completed.Hero tip: Consider the probability of the game being completed when trading. Kalshi's market is effectively a bet on *whether* a winner is determined, while Polymarket is a bet on *who* wins, conditional on a result being determined.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the game's outcome if definitively determined before abandonment, with a 50-50 split for cancellations/abandonments. "If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Hampton or SMU wins the game. "If SMU wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Hampton wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming CWBB game between Hampton Pirates and SMU Mustangs, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the women's college basketball game between Hampton and SMU scheduled for November 5, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within this 48-hour window, both markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Hampton vs. SMU game. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a fairly even split in predictions. Total volume across both venues is $68, with $48 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to express their beliefs about the game's result and profit from correctly anticipating the final score. The dashboard aggregates data from both markets, providing a comprehensive view of the prediction market's sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade and express their view. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. The efficiency of these markets means prices tend to be highly informative, but it's important to compare them with sportsbook odds to gain a broader understanding of the expected outcome for this market.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to variations in trader participation, market design, and the information available to each group. Polymarket currently favors Hampton Pirates vs. SMU Mustangs (W) at 50.0%, while Kalshi leans toward SMU wins at 80.0%. Different user bases may have varying levels of expertise regarding college basketball, leading to differing opinions reflected in the prices. Additionally, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the observed probabilities for this market.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Hampton vs. SMU game, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 5, 2026. Key player injuries on either the Hampton or SMU teams would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected news regarding team morale or coaching changes could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant changes in public perception, perhaps driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Finally, early game performance, even in the first few minutes, could trigger rapid movements in this market as traders react to unfolding events.