TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 3:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between two teams. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Market participants can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw.
The event determines the winner of the Hammarby vs Sirius professional Allsvenskan soccer match scheduled for October 29, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Hammarby, a win for Sirius, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the official match result as recognized by the governing league, without regard to any post-regulation proceedings.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the event’s likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means that the odds can shift rapidly, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. The goal is for the contract prices to converge towards the true probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hammarby vs Sirius match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific criteria for determining the winner or draw will be those established by the governing body of the league in which the match is played. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate a shift in expectations. Monitoring these factors closely can help you understand the potential drivers of price movement in this market and refine your own predictions.