TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A competitive soccer fixture allows bettors to predict a win for either participant or a draw, with clear guidelines for unusual scheduling changes that affect the contest's timing.
The market resolves based on the result of the Hammarby Talang vs Karlstad Fotbol professional Ettan soccer game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Hammarby Talang wins, the "Hammarby Talang" market resolves to Yes. If Karlstad Fotbol wins, the "Karlstad Fotbol" market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, whereas sportsbook odds may be slower to change. Comparing the two can provide valuable insights into public perception.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the aggregated forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and spread can vary depending on trading activity and the time remaining until the event. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Swedish Superettan match between Hammarby Talang and Karlstad Fotbol. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The exact payout amount is determined by the market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding team form, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators, could also trigger shifts in the market. Major upsets in other related matches within the league could also influence sentiment. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the game’s outcome is key to understanding potential market movements.