TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:22h:47m
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This group covers the outcome of a single Allsvenskan soccer match between Hammarby IF and IF Elfsborg, scheduled for November 6, 2026. Markets ask whether Hammarby will win, Elfsborg will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within the first 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Allsvenskan game between Hammarby IF and IF Elfsborg, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
The event determines the winner of a professional soccer match scheduled for November 6, 2026, between Hammarby and Elfsborg, following the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. If Hammarby wins, the 'Hammarby' market resolves to Yes. If Elfsborg wins, the 'Elfsborg' market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its associated entities.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal analysis, while prediction markets allow individuals to trade on their own beliefs, leading to a more dynamic and potentially accurate assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in how each entity interprets the available data. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or sentiment shifts.
Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, differing interpretations of available information about the Hammarby IF vs. IF Elfsborg match, or simply variations in trading activity, can cause the odds to diverge. The volume traded on each platform—currently $52 overall—also plays a role, as lower volume can lead to greater price volatility and discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hammarby IF versus IF Elfsborg match, as reported by official league sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event's progression and ensure a clear understanding of the final result that will trigger market settlement.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Hammarby IF or IF Elfsborg would likely cause shifts in the probabilities. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather forecasts for the match day could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to the Swedish Allsvenskan league standings or other relevant competitions could also move the market, as traders reassess the potential outcomes and adjust their positions accordingly.