TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:10 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Allsvenskan game, scheduled for October 11 at 8:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Allsvenskan game, scheduled for October 11 at 8:00 AM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate assessment of probabilities than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds often incorporate a 'vig' or commission, which prediction markets avoid. This can lead to differences in the implied probabilities. It’s common to see this market’s probabilities diverge from initial sportsbook offerings, especially as more information becomes available and more traders participate. Examining these differences can highlight where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in an outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders enter the market with differing opinions, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly liquid and informative market, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hammarby IF versus Djurgardens IF match, specifically which team emerges victorious. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements and reputable sports news outlets as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event’s progress and potential impacts on the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hammarby IF or Djurgardens IF would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also introduce volatility. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to shift the odds in this market.