TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result depends solely on the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Markets will adjust fairly if the match is significantly delayed or canceled.
The event determines the result of the HamKam vs Bodoe/Glimt Eliteserien soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible results: HamKam win, Bodoe/Glimt win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a clear victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. A draw after regular time resolves the Tie market to Yes. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event exclusively considers the result after normal playing time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both represent probabilities assigned to the same event, but through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices react to new information or shifts in sentiment, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the HamKam vs Bodoe/Glimt match, as reported by official sources, will determine which outcome is considered the winner. The platform will then verify the outcome and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event's progress and ensure a smooth resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either HamKam or Bodoe/Glimt could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants on Kalshi can create short-term price movements, reflecting shifts in market sentiment.