TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 9:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Hamilton and Pacific in the Canadian Premier League. The focus is on determining whether Hamilton, Pacific, or neither (a tie) secures a victory within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus any added stoppage time. The resolution hinges purely on the final result of the match as it concludes in regular time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves three possible outcomes for the Hamilton vs Pacific professional Canadian Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 7, 2026: Hamilton win, Pacific win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market corresponds to one of these outcomes, resolving to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Additionally, if the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the platform's guidelines. The markets are independent of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, meaning the odds can evolve as new information emerges and more people participate. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions that drive the prediction market price closer to their collective assessment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before an event gains widespread attention.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Hamilton vs Pacific match. The price of each contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing opinions, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hamilton vs Pacific match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 8, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or significant shifts in team performance could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also cause price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also play a role, though the market isn’t directly tied to those sources. Major announcements related to the teams or the event itself are likely to create volatility in the market.