TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Hamilton and HFX, focusing on who wins in regular time. The result depends solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends with both teams level, a separate market addresses that scenario.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Hamilton vs HFX Canadian Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either Hamilton or HFX occurs if that team wins the match within regular time. If the teams are tied after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per platform rules. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect these markets, which focus exclusively on the result after standard playing time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes sportsbooks have mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different perspectives on the likelihood of various outcomes for the Hamilton vs HFX match, and each has its own strengths and weaknesses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by new information, shifts in sentiment, and trading activity, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the Hamilton vs HFX match's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hamilton vs HFX match as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The exact details of the result will be sourced from publicly available and verifiable data to ensure a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several signals could significantly influence this market before Oct 3, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment and shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team performance or key player availability would likely cause rapid price adjustments. Furthermore, any significant public discussion or analysis of the Hamilton vs HFX match could also sway market opinion and lead to increased trading volume, ultimately affecting the probabilities reflected in this market.