TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:22 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hamburger SV" if Hamburger SV score more goals than VfB Stuttgart in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "VfB Stuttgart" if VfB Stuttgart score more goals than Hamburger SV in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hamburger SV" if Hamburger SV score more goals than VfB Stuttgart in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "VfB Stuttgart" if VfB Stuttgart score more goals than Hamburger SV in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the second half of the Hamburger SV vs. Stuttgart match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official sources to verify the final score and determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the outcome that is verified and reported. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart would likely cause significant movement. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or even weather conditions on match day, could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, unexpected events during the first half of the match, such as a red card or early goal, could drastically shift the odds. Public sentiment and late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price fluctuations before Oct 17, 2026.