TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:23 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hamburger SV" if Hamburger SV are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "VfB Stuttgart" if VfB Stuttgart are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hamburger SV" if Hamburger SV are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "VfB Stuttgart" if VfB Stuttgart are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a team is more likely to score first than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in accuracy, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart will score first. As more shares are traded, the price of each share adjusts to reflect the collective probability assigned by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome; a share priced at 60 means there's a 60% chance of that team scoring first, according to the traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Hamburger SV vs. Stuttgart match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed according to the platform’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, based on recent match results, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially favoring one team’s playing style, could move the market. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could sway trader opinions and alter the probabilities reflected on Polymarket.