TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:25 AM EST
Kalshi
The market covers multiple goal total thresholds for the Hamburg vs Stuttgart Bundesliga encounter. Participants can speculate on whether the match will see scoring above various benchmarks, each reflecting different expectations of offensive performance.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified number of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) are scored during the Hamburg vs Stuttgart professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from goal counts. The secondary rule clarifies that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and profit margins, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the prediction market may move in the opposite direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Hamburg vs Stuttgart match. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total goals scored. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, giving an indication of how easily orders can be filled. Traders are attempting to capitalize on perceived mispricings, driving the market towards what they believe is the true probability.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Hamburg vs Stuttgart match, as officially recorded by the league organizers, will determine the result. Any goals scored during regular play, including added time, will be counted. The market will settle based on this official figure, providing a clear and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final goal tally to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hamburg or Stuttgart would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected goal total. Tactical announcements from either manager, hinting at a more attacking or defensive approach, could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the likely outcome of the match could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.