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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 17, 11:31 AM EST
Kalshi
Hamburg and Stuttgart will compete in a high-stakes Bundesliga match, with the potential for a decisive win influencing their season dynamics.
The market resolves to Yes if Hamburg wins by more than 2.5 goals, Hamburg wins by more than 1.5 goals, Stuttgart wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Stuttgart wins by more than 2.5 goals in the professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from consideration. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the Hamburg vs Stuttgart match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing trends.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread itself is determined by the difference in contract prices, reflecting the market's expectation of the final point difference in the match. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Hamburg vs Stuttgart match as reported by official sports data providers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Hamburg or Stuttgart team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift the market’s perception of the likely outcome. Unexpected announcements related to player availability, coaching changes, or even external factors affecting team morale could all contribute to price movements in this market.