TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:29 AM EST
Kalshi
Hamburg plays host to Stuttgart in a Bundesliga game on October 17, 2026. With both sides possessing potent attacks, the focus will be on whether each team scores at least once in the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any post-regulation periods. Own goals are counted for the team to which they are awarded.
If Hamburg and Stuttgart both score a goal in the Hamburg vs Stuttgart Bundesliga match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals actively wagering on the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' capabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' or 'No' for both teams to score. The price of a contract reflects the market's current expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The closer the match gets, the more the price will likely converge towards either 0 or 100, representing a strong belief in one outcome or the other. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of both teams scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Hamburg and Stuttgart score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, including any added time. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning side of this market. Any abandoned or postponed matches will have their resolution timelines adjusted accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hamburg or Stuttgart would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements close to kickoff could also cause movement. Furthermore, any public statements from team managers or players regarding their attacking intentions might influence the market’s direction.