TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:52 PM EST
Kalshi
The market assesses if both Hamburg and Frankfurt will find the back of the net in their DFB Pokal encounter. Scoring must occur within the standard match duration of 90 minutes and stoppage time, with extra time and penalties not counting towards the result.
If Hamburg and Frankfurt both score a goal in the Hamburg vs Frankfurt DFB Pokal match originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s prices are determined by the collective predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when there’s a lot of uncertainty surrounding the outcome. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting and has its own inherent biases. It's important to consider both when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Hamburg vs Frankfurt match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The more traders believe both teams will score, the higher the price of the 'Yes' contract will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Hamburg and Frankfurt score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine the final outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hamburg or Frankfurt would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and goal-scoring opportunities. Finally, any major tactical changes announced by either team's manager could also move the market as traders adjust their expectations.