TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Hamburg and Frankfurt in the DFB Pokal tournament. It allows participants to speculate on whether Hamburg, Frankfurt, or a tied result will occur after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event reflects the competitive balance and expectations between these two teams in a high-stakes knockout competition.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Hamburg vs Frankfurt professional DFB Pokal soccer match originally scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for the Hamburg market occurs if Hamburg wins the match within regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Frankfurt market occurs if Frankfurt secures a victory within regulation time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. These provisions ensure clarity and fairness in resolving speculative positions based on the match's definitive result within the specified timeframe and conditions.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially outpacing sportsbook adjustments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the market deems a fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hamburg vs Frankfurt match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, any major upsets in other matches involving these teams could impact confidence levels and affect trading activity in this market. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential shifts in the predicted outcome.