TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 12:42 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-10-20 20:30 UTC: if Hamad Medjedovic wins the match, this market resolves to "Hamad Medjedovic"; if Brandon Nakashima wins, it resolves to "Brandon Nakashima". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-10-20 20:30 UTC: if Hamad Medjedovic wins the match, this market resolves to "Hamad Medjedovic"; if Brandon Nakashima wins, it resolves to "Brandon Nakashima". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal where the crowd believes there may be value or mispricing.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the possible outcomes of the Medjedovic vs Nakashima match. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus on its probability. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the price adjusts to reflect the changing expectations of the participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the odds closely track the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Medjedovic vs Nakashima match, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity itself can create momentum and drive price movements, especially as Oct 20, 2026 approaches. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.