TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Halifax and Gateshead scheduled for October 10, 2026. The result depends solely on who wins the game within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. If the teams finish level after this regulation period, the result is recorded as a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Halifax vs Gateshead professional English National League soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee. A victory for either Halifax or Gateshead within this regulation period will resolve the respective market to Yes. If the match concludes with an equal score, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets will be settled at a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result at the end of regular time. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering more efficient pricing. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly evaluating the potential for profit, leading to dynamic price discovery based on their collective assessment of the Halifax vs Gateshead match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Halifax vs Gateshead match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the availability of key players for either Halifax or Gateshead would likely cause a rapid price adjustment. Furthermore, changes in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns and media coverage, can also drive trading activity and impact the odds. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, potentially influencing the style of play and the final result.