TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:12 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a high-stakes soccer match between Hajduk and Dinamo Zagreb, two prominent Croatian teams. The result is determined solely by the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether Hajduk wins, Dinamo Zagreb wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Hajduk vs Dinamo Zagreb professional Croatia HNL soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Hajduk win, Dinamo Zagreb win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly considers the result within regular time, with no account for extended play or penalty decisions.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, whereas this market aggregates the beliefs of many independent traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates available information. It’s always wise to compare both to form a well-rounded view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market on Kalshi is for Dinamo Zagreb to win, though the probability assigned to this outcome is subject to change based on trading activity and new information.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hajduk vs Dinamo Zagreb match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final result. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hajduk or Dinamo Zagreb would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could all influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also impact the market. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts.