TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:48 AM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional soccer league. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee. This outcome determines specific betting conditions related to the game.
If Gwangju and Ulsan HD both score a goal in the Gwangju vs Ulsan HD Korea K League 1 match originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s price is determined by the collective predictions of individual traders. While sportsbooks may initially incorporate public opinion, they also factor in profit margins and perceived biases. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available and trading volume increases, potentially signaling areas where the market disagrees with conventional wisdom.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Gwangju vs Ulsan match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of 'Yes' (both teams to score) and lower prices suggesting a greater probability of 'No'. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a real-time probability assessment of the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Gwangju and Ulsan HD score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine the final outcome. The platform will then settle all outstanding contracts based on whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome occurred, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gwangju or Ulsan HD would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could all contribute to price movements. Increased trading volume closer to the match time often indicates heightened interest and potential volatility.