TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various margin-based outcomes for an upcoming professional soccer match in the Korea K League 1. It evaluates how many goals separate the two competing teams at the end of regular time, focusing on different threshold values for each team's potential victory. The resolution depends purely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple potential score-margin outcomes for a professional soccer match between Gwangju and Gimcheon Sangmu in the Korea K League 1, scheduled for October 31, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. Four distinct outcome thresholds are assessed: Gwangju winning by more than 2.5 goals, Gwangju winning by more than 1.5 goals, Gimcheon Sangmu winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Gimcheon Sangmu winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each market independently resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the required goal-differential victory. The rules explicitly state that the platform operating these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread—the difference in goals scored by Gwangju and Gimcheon Sangmu—will be determined by official match statistics. The market will settle based on which side of the spread the actual result falls. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before it resolves. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Gwangju or Gimcheon Sangmu would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and the final score. Any news related to team tactics or managerial decisions could also contribute to fluctuations in this market.