TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:20 AM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional league, with the outcome determined by their performance during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal within this standard match duration. This scenario tests the offensive capabilities of each team in a head-to-head contest under normal timing conditions.
If Gwangju and Gimcheon Sangmu both score a goal in the Gwangju vs Gimcheon Sangmu Korea K League 1 match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and perceived biases, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the event's outcome. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for identifying potential value or mispricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Gwangju vs Gimcheon Sangmu match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of 'Yes' (both teams to score). Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price, suggesting a lower probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Gwangju and Gimcheon Sangmu score at least one goal during the match. Official match data from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final result will be a simple 'Yes' if both teams score, or 'No' if one or both teams fail to score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gwangju or Gimcheon Sangmu would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could lead to increased trading activity and price fluctuations. Team form and recent results are also key indicators traders will be watching.