TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:31 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between GV CD San José and Club Guabirá, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the GV CD San José vs. Club Guabirá match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between GV CD San José and Club Guabirá, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the GV CD San José vs. Club Guabirá match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction markets like Polymarket often reflect information and insights beyond those captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing for a potentially more accurate assessment of the event’s probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on factors like team morale, potential injuries, or even weather conditions. It's common to see prediction market probabilities adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share directly reflects the market’s implied probability of that score occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s efficiency relies on active participation and informed trading, meaning the prices can shift quickly based on new information or changing sentiment regarding the match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the GV CD San José versus Club Guabirá match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either San José or Guabirá would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team formations or coaching strategies could also impact the market. Additionally, weather conditions on match day, and even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could all contribute to price movements. A surprising result in a related match involving either team might also affect trader sentiment and, consequently, the probabilities within this market.