TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:32 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Guyana and Dominica will determine if more than zero goals are scored during regulation time, focusing solely on the 90 minutes plus stoppage time without considering extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) in the Guyana vs Dominica CONCACAF Nations League soccer game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the number of goals: over 0.5, over 1.5, over 2.5, over 3.5, over 4.5, and over 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts for all markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome of the match. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different goal totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular goal total is likely, the price of contracts representing that total will increase. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will decrease.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Guyana vs Dominica match will be the determining factor. This includes goals scored during regulation time and any added time, but does not include goals scored during a penalty shootout, if applicable. The final result will be sourced from official match data and widely available sports news outlets to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of different goal totals. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and scoring opportunities. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports analysts and any public statements from players or coaches could shift market sentiment. A significant shift in public opinion, as reflected in polls or media coverage, could also move this market.