TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines if both Guyana and Dominica will find the back of the net in their CONCACAF Nations League match set for October 4, 2026. The focus is exclusively on goals scored within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extended play or shootouts.
If Guyana and Dominica both score a goal in the Guyana vs Dominica CONCACAF Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market’s price is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the prediction market price and sportsbook odds, it may indicate differing perceptions of the likelihood of both teams scoring. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Guyana and Dominica will score during the match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price goes up, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of those participating, and changes dynamically with each trade.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Guyana and Dominica score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from recognized sporting authorities will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final price on Kalshi at the time of resolution will determine the payout for those who held contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Guyana or Dominica would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift trader sentiment. Even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could cause fluctuations in the price. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring will likely move this market.