TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Sports
Guyana vs. Dominica
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Guyana vs. Dominica?

Volume:
$122,513

Guyana

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Guyana

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,210
N/A
N/A
$19,961
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Guyana

100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dominica

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,466
N/A
N/A
$38,280
Settled
No
polymarket

Dominica

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,775
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,699
N/A
N/A
$18,772
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Guyana vs. Dominica)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Concacaf Nations League soccer game between Guyana and Dominica, scheduled for October 4, 2026. Markets exist for Guyana winning, Dominica winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms align on resolving based on the official result of the game within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with defined fallback procedures for unavailable official data and a consistent handling of game cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official Concacaf statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the result of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • Cancellation of the game results in a 'No' resolution for win markets and a 'Yes' resolution for the draw market on Polymarket, and a 'Tie' resolution on Kalshi.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • No Acceptable Data: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, Polymarket markets will resolve 50-50, or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the game, ideally within 2 hours of the conclusion, but no later than 24 hours if fallback data sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Guyana and Dominica.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Guyana vs Dominica professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Guyana wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Guyana' market resolves to Yes. If Dominica wins under the same conditions, the 'Dominica' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regular time plus stoppage, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution strictly considers the outcome within the standard match duration and does not account for post-regulation periods such as extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Guyana vs. Dominica match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a high probability of a draw, with Polymarket assigning a chance of approximately 95%. Total volume across both platforms is $122,513, with $118,352 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how the collective wisdom of the crowd is pricing the likelihood of different results in this sporting contest. The dashboard provides a unified view of this market, aggregating data from multiple sources.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated view of potential outcomes than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their own risk, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of many individuals. This can lead to differences, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. Typically, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, as they incentivize participants to provide honest assessments. However, the volume on this market is currently $122,513, which may affect how closely it tracks sportsbook movements.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Guyana vs. Dominica match can differ due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading mechanisms, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—currently $122,513 overall—can impact liquidity and price volatility. While Polymarket currently favors a draw at approximately 95%, Kalshi leans toward a different outcome. These discrepancies are normal and reflect the independent price-setting processes of each market.