TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a Concacaf Nations League soccer game between Guyana and Dominica, scheduled for October 4, 2026. Markets exist for Guyana winning, Dominica winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Guyana and Dominica.
The event resolves based on the result of the Guyana vs Dominica professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Guyana wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Guyana' market resolves to Yes. If Dominica wins under the same conditions, the 'Dominica' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regular time plus stoppage, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution strictly considers the outcome within the standard match duration and does not account for post-regulation periods such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated view of potential outcomes than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their own risk, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of many individuals. This can lead to differences, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. Typically, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, as they incentivize participants to provide honest assessments. However, the volume on this market is currently $122,513, which may affect how closely it tracks sportsbook movements.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Guyana vs. Dominica match can differ due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading mechanisms, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—currently $122,513 overall—can impact liquidity and price volatility. While Polymarket currently favors a draw at approximately 95%, Kalshi leans toward a different outcome. These discrepancies are normal and reflect the independent price-setting processes of each market.